Valencia x Villarreal Betting tips for August 31 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Valencia x Villarreal, Saturday, 31/8/2024

📅 31/8/2024 16:30

Valencia 2.58

X 3.40

Villarreal 2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Valencia x Villarreal:

🔮 Villarreal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villarreal, you can win up to $1300.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Valencia x Villarreal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Villarreal, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Villarreal matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Villarreal conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Valencia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Villarreal playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Valencia x Villarreal?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Valencia x Villarreal:

Analysis from Valencia x Villarreal for the Spain Primera Liga – 31 of August

When the best bet on Valencia x Villarreal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1170907 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valencia x Villarreal

Is betting on Valencia worth it?

🔵 Valencia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $489.80
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Villarreal?

🔴 Villarreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $688.00;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$118.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia x Villarreal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia x Villarreal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Valencia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Valencia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Villarreal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia x Villarreal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.