St Etienne x Auxerre Betting tips for October 5 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for St Etienne x Auxerre, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 12:00

St Etienne 2.50

X 3.45

Auxerre 2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Etienne x Auxerre:

🔮 Auxerre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auxerre, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for St Etienne x Auxerre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $670.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Auxerre as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from St Etienne x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between St Etienne and Auxerre.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Etienne x Auxerre

Is betting on St Etienne worth it?

🔵 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $390.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $686.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $782.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$242.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x Auxerre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 St Etienne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 St Etienne, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 St Etienne.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 St Etienne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.