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Home » Predictions » FC Astana x FK Atyrau Betting tips for October 30 in Kazakhstan Premier League
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 14h00 Kazakhstan Premier League
FC Astana FC Astana
PREDICTION FC Astana wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
FK Atyrau FK Atyrau
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Astana x FK Atyrau Betting tips for October 30 in Kazakhstan Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Astana x FK Atyrau, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
14:00
FC Astana FC Astana
1.48
X
3.80
FK Atyrau FK Atyrau
5.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Astana x FK Atyrau:

🔮 FC Astana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Astana, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for FC Astana x FK Atyrau:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Astana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $444.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Atyrau in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 FC Astana did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Astana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Atyrau conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Astana is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 FC Astana has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FK Atyrau playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Astana x FK Atyrau?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Astana x FK Atyrau, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Astana x FK Atyrau for the Kazakhstan Premier League – 30 of October

🏟️ FC Astana X FK Atyrau – Kazakhstan Premier League
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 FC Astana – Winning probability: 84.05% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.15% | Fair line: 8.23
🔴 FK Atyrau – Winning probability: 3.80% | Fair line: 26.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Astana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Astana x FK Atyrau right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Astana x FK Atyrau

Is it worth betting on FC Astana?

🔵 FC Astana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $403.20
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$243.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$544.00.

Is it worth betting on FK Atyrau?

🔴 FK Atyrau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $190.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$770.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Astana x FK Atyrau

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Astana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Astana x FK Atyrau

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC Astana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 FC Astana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 FK Atyrau.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Astana x FK Atyrau

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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