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Home » Predictions » Others » Ajax Reserves x VVV Betting tips for November 1 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 01 November 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
PREDICTION Ajax Reserves wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
VVV VVV
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax Reserves x VVV Betting tips for November 1 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x VVV, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
19:00
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
2.14
X
3.67
VVV VVV
2.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax Reserves x VVV:

🔮 Ajax Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax Reserves, you can win up to $1070.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ajax Reserves x VVV:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VVV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 Ajax Reserves did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against VVV, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Ajax Reserves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, VVV conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ajax Reserves has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against VVV playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ajax Reserves x VVV for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 1 of November

🏟️ Ajax Reserves X VVV – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 54.36% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.80% | Fair line: 5.05
🔴 VVV – Winning probability: 25.84% | Fair line: 3.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax Reserves and VVV.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x VVV

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax Reserves?

🔵 Ajax Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $615.60;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $534.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$266.00.

Should you bet on VVV?

🔴 VVV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $481.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x VVV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x VVV

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Ajax Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ajax Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 VVV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x VVV

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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