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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Brentford x Bournemouth Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Brentford Brentford
PREDICTION Brentford wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Bournemouth Bournemouth
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Brentford x Bournemouth Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Bournemouth, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
15:00
Brentford Brentford
2.42
X
3.60
Bournemouth Bournemouth
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Bournemouth:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1210.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Brentford x Bournemouth:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bournemouth, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bournemouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Brentford has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bournemouth playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brentford x Bournemouth for the England Premier League – 9 of November

🏟️ Brentford X Bournemouth – England Premier League
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Brentford – Winning probability: 59.05% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.95% | Fair line: 5.57
🔴 Bournemouth – Winning probability: 23.00% | Fair line: 4.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Brentford x Bournemouth is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brentford x Bournemouth

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $837.80;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$427.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.

Should you bet on Bournemouth?

🔴 Bournemouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $391.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$379.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Bournemouth

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Bournemouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Brentford.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Bournemouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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