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Home » Predictions » Others » Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu Betting tips for November 16 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 16 November 2024, 20h00 Brazil Serie B
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
PREDICTION Gremio Novorizontino wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Paysandu Paysandu
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu Betting tips for November 16 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu, Saturday, 16/11/2024
📅 16/11/2024
20:00
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
1.53
X
3.60
Paysandu Paysandu
5.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu:

🔮 Gremio Novorizontino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio Novorizontino, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-21.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Paysandu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Paysandu conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu for the Brazil Serie B – 16 of November

🏟️ Gremio Novorizontino X Paysandu – Brazil Serie B
📅 16 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Gremio Novorizontino – Winning probability: 81.27% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.49% | Fair line: 7.41
🔴 Paysandu – Winning probability: 5.24% | Fair line: 19.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gremio Novorizontino and Paysandu.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222177 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu

Is betting on Gremio Novorizontino worth it?

🔵 Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $429.30;
  • And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $338.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Is it worth betting on Paysandu?

🔴 Paysandu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$710.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Gremio Novorizontino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Gremio Novorizontino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Gremio Novorizontino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio Novorizontino x Paysandu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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