Amazonas FC x Goias Betting tips for November 16 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 16/11/2024 22:00 |
 Amazonas FC3.80 |
X 3.20 |
Goias  1.95 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Amazonas FC x Goias:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Amazonas FC x Goias: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Amazonas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $470.0. |
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Analysis from Amazonas FC x Goias for the Brazil Serie B – 16 of November
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🏟️ Amazonas FC X Goias – Brazil Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Amazonas FC x Goias right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Amazonas FC x Goias
Is betting on Amazonas FC worth it?
🔵 Amazonas FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $704.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$24.00.
Is it worth betting on Goias?
🔴 Goias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $456.00;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Amazonas FC x Goias
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Amazonas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amazonas FC x Goias
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Amazonas FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Amazonas FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Goias.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amazonas FC x Goias
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
