Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for November 18 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara, Monday, 18/11/2024

📅 18/11/2024 01:00

Tapatio 2.18

X 3.20

Universidad Guadalajara 3.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

Important information for your tip for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Tapatio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Universidad Guadalajara matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Tapatio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Universidad Guadalajara.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 18 of November

When the best bet on Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222780 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

Should you bet on Tapatio?

🔵 Tapatio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $271.40
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$498.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Universidad Guadalajara?

🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $943.00;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$403.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tapatio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tapatio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Universidad Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Universidad Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.