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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Nairobi City Stars x Tusker Betting tips for November 23 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
PREDICTION No tip
Tusker Tusker
Don't miss this prediction!

Nairobi City Stars x Tusker Betting tips for November 23 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
10:00
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
2.41
X
2.95
Tusker Tusker
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker

Important information for your tip for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nairobi City Stars scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nairobi City Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tusker conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Nairobi City Stars has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Tusker playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nairobi City Stars x Tusker?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nairobi City Stars x Tusker, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nairobi City Stars x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 23 of November

🏟️ Nairobi City Stars X Tusker – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Nairobi City Stars – Winning probability: 38.40% | Fair line: 2.6
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.57% | Fair line: 3.27
πŸ”΄ Tusker – Winning probability: 31.03% | Fair line: 3.22
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nairobi City Stars x Tusker is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker

Is it worth betting on Nairobi City Stars?

πŸ”΅ Nairobi City Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $535.80;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$84.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $604.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$85.50.

Is betting on Tusker worth it?

πŸ”΄ Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $558.00
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$132.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi City Stars x Tusker

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nairobi City Stars
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Nairobi City Stars, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nairobi City Stars.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi City Stars x Tusker

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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