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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Wolfsburg x Union Berlin Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION Union Berlin Wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x Union Berlin Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
14:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
2.16
X
3.40
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin:

🔮 Union Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Berlin, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Union Berlin, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Wolfsburg has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Union Berlin playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Wolfsburg x Union Berlin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wolfsburg x Union Berlin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Wolfsburg x Union Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga I – 23 of November

🏟️ Wolfsburg X Union Berlin – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 35.70% | Fair line: 2.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.36% | Fair line: 3.41
🔴 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 34.95% | Fair line: 2.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Wolfsburg x Union Berlin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin

Is betting on Wolfsburg worth it?

🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $417.60;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$222.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?

🔴 Union Berlin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $787.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$137.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Union Berlin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Wolfsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Wolfsburg.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Union Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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