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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Bournemouth x Brighton Betting tips for November 23 in England Premier League
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Bournemouth Bournemouth
PREDICTION Bournemouth wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Brighton Brighton
ODD: @2.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Bournemouth x Brighton Betting tips for November 23 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Brighton, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
15:00
Bournemouth Bournemouth
2.27
X
3.60
Brighton Brighton
2.92

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bournemouth x Brighton:

🔮 Bournemouth wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bournemouth, you can win up to $1135.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bournemouth x Brighton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $673.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bournemouth scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bournemouth is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bournemouth x Brighton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bournemouth x Brighton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bournemouth x Brighton for the England Premier League – 23 of November

🏟️ Bournemouth X Brighton – England Premier League
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Bournemouth – Winning probability: 69.89% | Fair line: 1.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.16% | Fair line: 7.6
🔴 Brighton – Winning probability: 16.95% | Fair line: 5.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bournemouth x Brighton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bournemouth x Brighton

Should you bet on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $889.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$589.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $338.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.00.

Should you bet on Brighton?

🔴 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $326.40
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$503.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Brighton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bournemouth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bournemouth.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Brighton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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