Arsenal x Nottm Forest Betting tips for November 23 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Nottm Forest, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 15:00

Arsenal 1.33

X 5.03

Nottm Forest 9.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $665.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Nottm Forest: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-96.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1130.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Nottm Forest, Arsenal scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Arsenal x Nottm Forest, with Arsenal as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Nottm Forest has not lost any of them. 👉 Arsenal has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Nottm Forest.

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Analysis from Arsenal x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Nottm Forest.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Nottm Forest

Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $297.00;
• And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$197.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $322.40;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.60.

Is it worth betting on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $80.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$910.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Nottm Forest

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.