Aston Villa x Crystal Palace Betting tips for November 23 in England Premier League
| 📅 23/11/2024 15:00 |
 Aston Villa1.65 |
X 4.00 |
Crystal Palace  4.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace:
🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $825.00!
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The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Aston Villa x Crystal Palace?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Crystal Palace, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Aston Villa x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 23 of November
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🏟️ Aston Villa X Crystal Palace – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace
Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa?
🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $533.00
- And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$353.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.
Is betting on Crystal Palace worth it?
🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $312.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$608.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Crystal Palace
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aston Villa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Crystal Palace.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
