Everton x Brentford Betting tips for November 23 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Brentford, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 15:00

Everton 2.35

X 3.50

Brentford 2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Everton x Brentford:

🔮 Everton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Everton, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Everton x Brentford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brentford, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Everton matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Brentford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Brentford as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Everton x Brentford for the England Premier League – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Brentford.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Brentford

Is it a good idea to bet on Everton?

🔵 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $864.00
• And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$504.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $323.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$507.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Brentford

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Everton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Everton.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.