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Home » Predictions » Others » Chesterfield x Barrow Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 England League 2
Chesterfield Chesterfield
PREDICTION Chesterfield wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Barrow Barrow
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Chesterfield x Barrow Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Chesterfield x Barrow, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
15:00
Chesterfield Chesterfield
1.95
X
3.40
Barrow Barrow
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chesterfield x Barrow:

🔮 Chesterfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chesterfield, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Chesterfield x Barrow:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chesterfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barrow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Chesterfield matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Chesterfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barrow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Chesterfield x Barrow for the England League 2 – 23 of November

🏟️ Chesterfield X Barrow – England League 2
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Chesterfield – Winning probability: 54.26% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.22% | Fair line: 4.71
🔴 Barrow – Winning probability: 24.52% | Fair line: 4.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chesterfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chesterfield x Barrow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chesterfield x Barrow

Is it worth betting on Chesterfield?

🔵 Chesterfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is betting on Barrow worth it?

🔴 Barrow: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $675.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$75.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chesterfield x Barrow

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chesterfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chesterfield x Barrow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chesterfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Chesterfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chesterfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chesterfield x Barrow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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