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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for November 23 in Northern Ireland Championship
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 Northern Ireland Championship
Newington FC Newington FC
PREDICTION No tip
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
Don't miss this prediction!

Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd Betting tips for November 23 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
15:00
Newington FC Newington FC
2.40
X
3.60
Ballinamallard Utd Ballinamallard Utd
2.37

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd

Important information for your tip for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Newington FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ballinamallard Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $194.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ballinamallard Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ballinamallard Utd, Newington FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Ballinamallard Utd matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd, with Newington FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Newington FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ballinamallard Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Newington FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ballinamallard Utd.

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Summary

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Analysis from Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd for the Northern Ireland Championship – 23 of November

🏟️ Newington FC X Ballinamallard Utd – Northern Ireland Championship
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Newington FC – Winning probability: 35.43% | Fair line: 2.82
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.54% | Fair line: 4.25
πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd – Winning probability: 41.03% | Fair line: 2.44
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newington FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd

Is it a good idea to bet on Newington FC?

πŸ”΅ Newington FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $490.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Should you bet on Ballinamallard Utd?

πŸ”΄ Ballinamallard Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $561.70;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$28.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newington FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Newington FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Newington FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ballinamallard Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newington FC x Ballinamallard Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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