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Home » Predictions » Others » Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for November 23 in Serbia Super Liga
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h00 Serbia Super Liga
Jedinstvo UB Jedinstvo UB
PREDICTION Crvena Zvezda Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
ODD: @1.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda Betting tips for November 23 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:00
Jedinstvo UB Jedinstvo UB
17.00
X
8.00
Crvena Zvezda Crvena Zvezda
1.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda:

🔮 Crvena Zvezda wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crvena Zvezda, you can win up to $550.00!

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Important information for your tip for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jedinstvo UB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crvena Zvezda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-157.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Crvena Zvezda scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Jedinstvo UB matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Jedinstvo UB conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda for the Serbia Super Liga – 23 of November

🏟️ Jedinstvo UB X Crvena Zvezda – Serbia Super Liga
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Jedinstvo UB – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 10698.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.21% | Fair line: 484.62
🔴 Crvena Zvezda – Winning probability: 99.78% | Fair line: 1.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Jedinstvo UB
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Jedinstvo UB and Crvena Zvezda.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda

Should you bet on Jedinstvo UB?

🔵 Jedinstvo UB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 17.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Crvena Zvezda?

🔴 Crvena Zvezda: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $100.00;
  • And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Jedinstvo UB
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.5 Jedinstvo UB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.25 Jedinstvo UB.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.25 Crvena Zvezda.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jedinstvo UB x Crvena Zvezda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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