Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala Betting tips for November 23 in Poland II Liga

Our betting tip for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:00

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.59

X 3.82

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 4.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala

The main points for the tip for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Zaglebie Sosnowiec in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-153.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rekord Bielsko-Biala in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $485.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rekord Bielsko-Biala scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Rekord Bielsko-Biala, Zaglebie Sosnowiec scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Rekord Bielsko-Biala matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala, with Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Zaglebie Sosnowiec conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Zaglebie Sosnowiec conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Rekord Bielsko-Biala. 👉 Zaglebie Sosnowiec has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Rekord Bielsko-Biala playing at home.

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Analysis from Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala for the Poland II Liga – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Rekord Bielsko-Biala.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Should you bet on Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

🔵 Zaglebie Sosnowiec: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $365.80
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $620.40
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$159.60.

Should you bet on Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

🔴 Rekord Bielsko-Biala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Rekord Bielsko-Biala.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Zaglebie Sosnowiec x Rekord Bielsko-Biala

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.