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Home » Predictions » Others » Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow Betting tips for November 23 in Russia Division 1
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h00 Russia Division 1
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
PREDICTION Baltika Kaliningrad wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Rodina Moscow Rodina Moscow
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow Betting tips for November 23 in Russia Division 1

Our betting tip for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:00
Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad
1.70
X
3.25
Rodina Moscow Rodina Moscow
4.56

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow:

🔮 Baltika Kaliningrad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Baltika Kaliningrad, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Baltika Kaliningrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-129.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rodina Moscow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow for the Russia Division 1 – 23 of November

🏟️ Baltika Kaliningrad X Rodina Moscow – Russia Division 1
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Baltika Kaliningrad – Winning probability: 64.53% | Fair line: 1.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.02% | Fair line: 4.34
🔴 Rodina Moscow – Winning probability: 12.45% | Fair line: 8.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Baltika Kaliningrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Baltika Kaliningrad and Rodina Moscow.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow

Should you bet on Baltika Kaliningrad?

🔵 Baltika Kaliningrad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Should you bet on Rodina Moscow?

🔴 Rodina Moscow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $427.20
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$452.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Baltika Kaliningrad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Baltika Kaliningrad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Baltika Kaliningrad.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Baltika Kaliningrad x Rodina Moscow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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