Genoa x Cagliari Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 24/11/2024 11:30 |
 Genoa2.60 |
X 3.20 |
Cagliari  2.80 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Cagliari:
🔮 Cagliari wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1400.00!
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The main points for the tip for Genoa x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Genoa x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November
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🏟️ Genoa X Cagliari – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Genoa and Cagliari.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Cagliari
Is it worth betting on Genoa?
🔵 Genoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $400.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $726.00;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Cagliari?
🔴 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Cagliari
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Cagliari
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Genoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Genoa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Cagliari.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Cagliari
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
