Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 24/11/2024 16:30 |
 Borussia Mgladbach1.85 |
X 3.70 |
St Pauli  4.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli:
🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $925.00!
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Important information for your tip for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $245.0. |
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Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 24 of November
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🏟️ Borussia Mgladbach X St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli
Is it worth betting on Borussia Mgladbach?
🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $578.00;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $486.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on St Pauli?
🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Borussia Mgladbach.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 St Pauli.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x St Pauli
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
