Lazio x Bologna Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A
π
24/11/2024 19:45 |
Lazio 1.85 |
X 3.50 |
Bologna 4.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Bologna:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lazio x Bologna
Important information for your tip for Lazio x Bologna: π If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $397.0. |
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Analysis from Lazio x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November
ποΈ Lazio X Bologna – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Lazio x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Bologna
Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?
π΅ Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $467.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$17.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$20.00.
Is it worth betting on Bologna?
π΄ Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $576.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$244.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Bologna
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Bologna
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lazio.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bologna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Bologna
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.