Atletico GO x Fluminense Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico GO x Fluminense, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 16:00

Atletico GO 2.85

X 3.10

Fluminense 2.46

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico GO x Fluminense:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Atletico GO x Fluminense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fluminense, Atletico GO scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico GO has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fluminense playing at home.

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Analysis from Atletico GO x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

When the best bet on Atletico GO x Fluminense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico GO x Fluminense

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico GO?

🔵 Atletico GO: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $481.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$259.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $756.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $554.80;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$65.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico GO x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico GO
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico GO x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Atletico GO, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico GO.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Fluminense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico GO x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.