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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Ceara x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 00h30 Brazil Serie A
Ceara Ceara
PREDICTION Ceara wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Ceara x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Ceara x Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 16/4/2025
00:30
Ceara Ceara
2.30
X
3.10
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
3.07

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ceara x Vasco da Gama:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ceara wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ceara, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ceara x Vasco da Gama:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-11.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-207.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Ceara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Vasco da Gama matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 2 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ceara x Vasco da Gama?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ceara x Vasco da Gama, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ceara x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 16 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ceara X Vasco da Gama – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Ceara – Winning probability: 59.96% | Fair line: 1.67
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.39% | Fair line: 4.47
๐Ÿ”ด Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 17.65% | Fair line: 5.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ceara
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ceara and Vasco da Gama.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304965 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ceara x Vasco da Gama

Is it worth betting on Ceara?

๐Ÿ”ต Ceara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $780.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$380.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$318.00.

Is it worth betting on Vasco da Gama?

๐Ÿ”ด Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $372.60
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$447.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ceara x Vasco da Gama

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ceara
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceara x Vasco da Gama

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ceara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ceara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceara x Vasco da Gama

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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