Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 18:30

Cruzeiro 1.90

X 3.38

Vasco da Gama 4.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Vasco da Gama, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama, with Cruzeiro as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Cruzeiro has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Vasco da Gama playing at home.

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Analysis from Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $595.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?

🔴 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $491.20;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$348.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Cruzeiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cruzeiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Vasco da Gama

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.