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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Cuiaba x EC Bahia Betting tips for November 30 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 22h30 Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba Cuiaba
PREDICTION EC Bahia Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
EC Bahia EC Bahia
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Cuiaba x EC Bahia Betting tips for November 30 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cuiaba x EC Bahia, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
22:30
Cuiaba Cuiaba
3.30
X
3.15
EC Bahia EC Bahia
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cuiaba x EC Bahia:

🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cuiaba x EC Bahia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cuiaba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, EC Bahia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Cuiaba as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cuiaba x EC Bahia for the Brazil Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Cuiaba X EC Bahia – Brazil Serie A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Cuiaba – Winning probability: 14.20% | Fair line: 7.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.03% | Fair line: 5.55
🔴 EC Bahia – Winning probability: 67.77% | Fair line: 1.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cuiaba and EC Bahia.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230061 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cuiaba x EC Bahia

Is betting on Cuiaba worth it?

🔵 Cuiaba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $322.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $387.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$433.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Bahia?

🔴 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $884.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$564.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cuiaba x EC Bahia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cuiaba x EC Bahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Cuiaba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Cuiaba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cuiaba x EC Bahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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