EC Bahia x Criciuma Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Bahia x Criciuma, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 18:30

EC Bahia 1.56

X 3.86

Criciuma 5.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Bahia x Criciuma:

🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $780.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for EC Bahia x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $315.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Criciuma, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Criciuma matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Criciuma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 EC Bahia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Criciuma playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on EC Bahia x Criciuma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on EC Bahia x Criciuma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from EC Bahia x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Bahia x Criciuma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Criciuma

Should you bet on EC Bahia?

🔵 EC Bahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $448.00;
• And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$248.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $371.80;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$498.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Criciuma?

🔴 Criciuma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $323.40
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$606.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Criciuma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Criciuma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 EC Bahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 EC Bahia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Criciuma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.