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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป EC Juventude x Bragantino Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude EC Juventude
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Bragantino Bragantino
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Juventude x Bragantino Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Bragantino, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
EC Juventude EC Juventude
2.43
X
3.20
Bragantino Bragantino
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Juventude x Bragantino:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for EC Juventude x Bragantino:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $755.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 EC Juventude matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bragantino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bragantino as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from EC Juventude x Bragantino for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ EC Juventude X Bragantino – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต EC Juventude – Winning probability: 37.96% | Fair line: 2.63
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.20% | Fair line: 2.84
๐Ÿ”ด Bragantino – Winning probability: 26.84% | Fair line: 3.73
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Juventude and Bragantino.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Juventude x Bragantino

Should you bet on EC Juventude?

๐Ÿ”ต EC Juventude: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $543.40;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$76.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $770.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bragantino?

๐Ÿ”ด Bragantino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$230.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Bragantino

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Bragantino

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EC Juventude, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 EC Juventude.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 EC Juventude.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Bragantino

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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