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Home Β» Predictions Β» Brazil Serie A Β» EC Juventude x Ceara Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude EC Juventude
PREDICTION No tip
Ceara Ceara
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EC Juventude x Ceara Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Ceara, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
19:00
EC Juventude EC Juventude
2.21
X
3.14
Ceara Ceara
3.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Juventude x Ceara:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for EC Juventude x Ceara

The main points for the tip for EC Juventude x Ceara:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $677.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between EC Juventude x Ceara, with EC Juventude as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ EC Juventude is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ EC Juventude has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Ceara playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on EC Juventude x Ceara?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Juventude x Ceara:

Analysis from EC Juventude x Ceara for the Brazil Serie A – 12 of April

🏟️ EC Juventude X Ceara – Brazil Serie A
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ EC Juventude – Winning probability: 42.87% | Fair line: 2.33
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.34% | Fair line: 3.66
πŸ”΄ Ceara – Winning probability: 29.79% | Fair line: 3.36
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Juventude x Ceara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Juventude x Ceara

Should you bet on EC Juventude?

πŸ”΅ EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $520.30;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$49.70.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $577.80;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$152.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ceara?

πŸ”΄ Ceara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $744.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$44.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Ceara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Ceara

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Juventude and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Juventude.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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