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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 20h00 Brazil Serie A
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense
ODD: @3.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
20:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.65
X
3.75
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 3 Flamengo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

🏟️ Flamengo X Athletico Paranaense – Brazil Serie A
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 53.44% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.93% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Athletico Paranaense – Winning probability: 17.62% | Fair line: 5.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $344.50;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $797.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$87.50.

Is it worth betting on Athletico Paranaense?

🔴 Athletico Paranaense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Flamengo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Athletico Paranaense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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