Fluminense x Cruzeiro Betting tips for October 3 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Cruzeiro, Thursday, 3/10/2024

📅 3/10/2024 21:30

Fluminense 2.25

X 3.01

Cruzeiro 3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fluminense x Cruzeiro:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Fluminense x Cruzeiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cruzeiro, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Fluminense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Cruzeiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Fluminense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cruzeiro playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fluminense x Cruzeiro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fluminense x Cruzeiro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fluminense x Cruzeiro for the Brazil Serie A – 3 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fluminense and Cruzeiro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fluminense x Cruzeiro

Is it worth betting on Fluminense?

🔵 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $612.50
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $542.70;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.30.

Is it worth betting on Cruzeiro?

🔴 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Cruzeiro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Cruzeiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fluminense.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.