Fortaleza x Cuiaba Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Cuiaba, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 16:00

Fortaleza 1.62

X 3.65

Cuiaba 5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortaleza x Cuiaba:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $810.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fortaleza x Cuiaba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fortaleza x Cuiaba, with Fortaleza as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Cuiaba matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cuiaba conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Cuiaba as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fortaleza x Cuiaba?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fortaleza x Cuiaba for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza x Cuiaba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Cuiaba

Is betting on Fortaleza worth it?

🔵 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 730 times – profiting $452.60;
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$182.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $477.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$343.00.

Should you bet on Cuiaba?

🔴 Cuiaba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $427.50;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$482.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Cuiaba

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Cuiaba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fortaleza.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Cuiaba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.