Mirassol x Gremio Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Mirassol x Gremio, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 22:00

Mirassol 2.96

X 3.10

Gremio 2.46

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mirassol x Gremio:

🔮 Mirassol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mirassol, you can win up to $1480.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mirassol x Gremio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mirassol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mirassol conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mirassol x Gremio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mirassol x Gremio:

Analysis from Mirassol x Gremio for the Brazil Serie A – 16 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mirassol x Gremio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mirassol x Gremio

Should you bet on Mirassol?

🔵 Mirassol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $842.80;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$272.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Should you bet on Gremio?

🔴 Gremio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $438.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$262.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mirassol x Gremio

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mirassol x Gremio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mirassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Mirassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Mirassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mirassol x Gremio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.