Palmeiras x Corinthians Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Corinthians, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 21:30

Palmeiras 2.05

X 3.40

Corinthians 3.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Palmeiras x Corinthians:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Palmeiras x Corinthians: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Palmeiras matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Corinthians matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Palmeiras x Corinthians, with Palmeiras as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Corinthians has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Palmeiras x Corinthians for the Brazil Serie A – 12 of April

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Corinthians is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Palmeiras x Corinthians

Is it a good idea to bet on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $703.50
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$373.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $384.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $438.60
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$391.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Corinthians

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Palmeiras and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Palmeiras.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Palmeiras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.