Sao Paulo x Corinthians Betting tips for September 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo x Corinthians, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 16:00

Sao Paulo 2.15

X 3.02

Corinthians 3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sao Paulo x Corinthians:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sao Paulo x Corinthians

The main points for the tip for Sao Paulo x Corinthians: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-168.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Corinthians, Sao Paulo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sao Paulo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sao Paulo x Corinthians?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sao Paulo x Corinthians for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo x Corinthians

Is betting on Sao Paulo worth it?

🔵 Sao Paulo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $471.50;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $626.20;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$63.80.

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $784.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo x Corinthians

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sao Paulo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sao Paulo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sao Paulo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.