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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 00h00 Brazil Serie A
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
PREDICTION Vasco da Gama wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Sport Recife Sport Recife
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
00:00
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
1.85
X
3.31
Sport Recife Sport Recife
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife:

🔮 Vasco da Gama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vasco da Gama, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-103.0.
👉 Vasco da Gama has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sport Recife playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife:

Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife for the Brazil Serie A – 13 of April

🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Sport Recife – Brazil Serie A
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 56.24% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.73% | Fair line: 5.34
🔴 Sport Recife – Winning probability: 25.03% | Fair line: 4.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302086 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife

Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?

🔵 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $438.90;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$371.10.

Should you bet on Sport Recife?

🔴 Sport Recife: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Vasco da Gama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Vasco da Gama. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Sport Recife

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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