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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
PREDICTION Bayer Leverkusen wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Heidenheim Heidenheim
ODD: @1.19 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
14:30
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.19
X
7.12
Heidenheim Heidenheim
13.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim:

🔮 Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $595.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 23 of November

🏟️ Bayer Leverkusen X Heidenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 96.94% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.52% | Fair line: 39.75
🔴 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 0.55% | Fair line: 182.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Heidenheim.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – profiting $184.30;
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$154.30.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $183.60;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$786.40.

Is it worth betting on Heidenheim?

🔴 Heidenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 13.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $120.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Bayer Leverkusen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Bayer Leverkusen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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