Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne Betting tips for November 8 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne, Saturday, 8/11/2025

📅 8/11/2025 17:30

Borussia Mgladbach 2.25

X 3.54

Cologne 2.91

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-187.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cologne, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Borussia Mgladbach matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne, with Borussia Mgladbach as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cologne.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Borussia Mgladbach vs Cologne:

Lets analyze the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Cologne in the Bundesliga, which will take place at Borussia-Park, the rightful home of Gladbach. ⚽

📊 Recent statistics show that Borussia Mgladbach has a mixed performance at home: scored 10 goals and conceded 12 in the last 5 games at their stadium, with 2 wins and 2 losses. Cologne, on the other hand, shows interesting offensive numbers away from home, with a higher average of goals (14 scored vs. 8 conceded in recent away games). Gladbach suffers more shots (18 per game) than they take (9), while Cologne also faces significant defensive challenges.

📈 In the league table, both teams are pressured to earn points: Gladbach aims to move away from relegation zone while Cologne tries to maintain their good start as a newly promoted team. This increases motivation for a competitive and open game.

📰 News indicates Borussia Mönchengladbach is riding high after a convincing 4-0 win under interim management, with key returns of injured players potentially strengthening the team further. Conversely, Köln also arrives confident after a recent 4-1 thrashing, highlighting young offensive talents.

Analyzing the median odds provided by bookmakers (2.25 for home win; 3.6 for draw; and 2.9 for away win), we calculate the implied normalized probabilities:

• Home win: ~42%
• Draw: ~26%
• Away win: ~32%

Based on the offensive/defensive stats and recent news, our adjusted estimate suggests a fair probability close to:

• Borussia Mgladbach wins: ~40% – considering the home advantage at Borussia-Park and returning reinforcements;
• Draw: ~28% – a balanced game due to the needs of both teams;
• Köln wins: ~32% – an offensively strong away team but defensively vulnerable.

Thus, fair odds would be approximately:

• Borussia Mgladbach fair victory around @2.50;
• Fair draw @3.57;
• Köln fair victory @3.13.

Evaluating the expected value of the final odds offered by bookmakers compared to our fair odds:

• Betting on the draw offers a positive EV above +5%, making it an interesting bet due to the expected balance of the match;
• Betting on Kölns victory has a positive EV but smaller (~+3%), worth considering as a second option;
• Betting on Borussias victory does not present a positive expected value according to our calculation due to the low odds offered compared to the risk involved.

Final analysis: I partially agree with the Bets Kenya club model indicating value in the draw (+8%) but disagree that betting on the away win is so attractive (+3%). The scenario points to a balanced game where betting on the draw is the best choice with greater financial security.
🎯 My suggestion is to bet on the draw, as it reflects the intense competition between two motivated teams playing in a traditionally difficult stadium like Borussia-Park.
Good luck! 🍀

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Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne for the Germany Bundesliga I – 8 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434443 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach started the season with a commanding 4-0 victory over FC St Pauli under interim coach Eugen Polanski, who praised the performance but avoided calling it a rescue; the win, partly driven by Marco Tabakovics double goal, marked the clubs first victory in the Bundesliga this campaign, while midfielder Robin Hack has already returned to full training and a player with a long-term injury is about to reappear before the next match against 1. FC Köln, indicating a possible surprise for the Gladbach team.

1. FC Köln: On November 2, 2025, 1. FC Köln celebrated a convincing 4-1 victory over Hamburger SV at RheinEnergieStadion, with 23-year-old Jakub Kaminski scoring a goal and providing an assist, being named the man of the match by coach Lukas Kwasniok, who praised his versatile offensive talent while the club continued its strong push as a newly promoted team in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season.

Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

Borussia Mgladbach: Borussia Mgladbach is currently in 16th place, in the relegation playoff zone, with 6 points. The team needs to earn points to escape this delicate situation and secure their place in the Bundesliga. Therefore, this game is extremely important to try to avoid relegation and to seek a reaction in the competition.

Cologne: Cologne is in 7th place, with 14 points, in the middle of the table, close to spots that qualify for European competitions like the Conference League. A victory here could bring the team closer to a European position, increasing the importance of the match for Cologne as well.

Summary: The match is very important for both teams: Borussia Mgladbach fights to avoid dropping to the second division, while Cologne aims to consolidate their good campaign and seek a spot in international competitions. A game full of emotion and significance for both sides! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

Is betting on Borussia Mgladbach worth it?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $736.60;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$26.60.

Is betting on Cologne worth it?

🔴 Cologne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $496.60;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$243.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Borussia Mgladbach and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Cologne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Cologne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.