Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 18:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.83

X 3.95

Mainz 3.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mainz, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz?

⚽ The match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz promises to be interesting, but looking at recent statistics, Eintracht has shown defensive fragility playing at home, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in recent matches at their stadium (17 goals in 5 games). Additionally, they have only won 1 of the last 5 home games in the Bundesliga. On the other hand, Mainz is also not in a great away form and is still seeking their first victory of the season as visitors.

📈 In the league table, both teams are pressured to earn points: Eintracht wants to recover after mixed results and a recent cup loss that led to changes in the starting lineup; Mainz is also focused on the Conference League and has yet to win at home this season. This suggests that both may start cautiously or with alternative strategies to preserve players.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: Eintracht rested some starters after a recent cup loss and criticized refereeing decisions that could have changed outcomes. Mainz is experiencing turmoil with an interim coaching change and divided focus between national and European competitions.

🔢 Calculating fair odds based on median odds adjusted for the bookmakers margin gives approximately: Eintracht win ~50%, draw ~24%, Mainz win ~26%. The Bets Kenya model suggests a higher probability for a draw (~16%) well below our estimate (24%), indicating the model underestimates this outcome. For the home win (Eintracht), our calculation is close to the model (~50% vs ~58%), while for the away win, our estimate is slightly higher (~26% vs ~26%).

💡 Considering all this, the fair odds indicate value mainly in the draw or even a moderate bet on the away team given the unstable moment of the home team. However, when comparing the expected values of the final odds against our fair odds, no bet shows an expected value above 5%, suggesting caution.

Conclusion: I partially agree with the models suggestion of positive value for Eintrachts win (positive EV close to 6%), but I believe it underestimates the potential for a draw given the defensive instability of the home team and the tense situation of the visitors. My recommendation is to watch the live market for opportunities in the draw or combined bets involving few goals due to the defensive fragility shown in recent numbers.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt: The mens team of Eintracht Frankfurt drew 1-1 away against 1. FC Heidenheim in the ninth Bundesliga round, with Zivzivadze scoring early for the hosts and Rasmus Kristensen equalizing with a header after a cross from Brown; Dino Toppmöller criticized a missed penalty on Arthur Theate and rotated his squad, resting Chaibi, Burkardt, Skhiri, and Wahi after a recent cup defeat, while the clubs womens team suffered a 3-0 defeat.

Mainz 05: Mainz 05 is still seeking its first home victory in the Bundesliga this season, having suffered draws and losses at their own stadium, and is now focusing on an upcoming Conference League match against Fiorentina, which recently dismissed Stefano Pioli and appointed U-19 coach Daniele Galloppa as interim; meanwhile, the clubs reserve team, Mainz 05 II, continues their campaign in the Regionalliga Südwest with upcoming matches against regional opponents like Schott Mainz.

Table analysis for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt is currently in 8th place with 14 points, experiencing an intermediate phase in the standings. The team is far from direct qualification spots for European competitions (such as the Champions League or Europa League) and is also comfortably above the relegation zone. Therefore, this match is important for Frankfurt to solidify its position in the middle of the table and try to get closer to European spots, but it is not a decisive game for a major change in the classification. A victory could improve the teams position for upcoming rounds, but the pressure is not extreme.

Mainz: Mainz is in 17th place, in the relegation zone, with only 5 points in the competition. This means that the game against Frankfurt is extremely important to try to escape relegation and earn precious points for survival in the Bundesliga. The team desperately needs positive results to leave the critical zone, and this confrontation is practically a final for Mainz, which is at extreme risk of dropping to a lower division.

Summary: The game is very important for Mainz, as the team fights against relegation, while for Eintracht Frankfurt it is a good opportunity to move up the table and seek a European spot, but the pressure is less compared to the opponent. Therefore, the match is more crucial for one team, being vital for Mainz and significant but less decisive for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz

Is it a good idea to bet on Eintracht Frankfurt?

🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $431.60;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $413.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mainz?

🔴 Mainz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $907.50;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$237.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Eintracht Frankfurt and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.