Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 17:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.63

X 4.31

Werder Bremen 4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen:

🔮 Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eintracht Frankfurt, you can win up to $815.00!

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The main points for the tip for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $117.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $678.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Werder Bremen, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen, with Eintracht Frankfurt as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Eintracht Frankfurt is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Eintracht Frankfurt has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Werder Bremen playing at home.

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Analysis from Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen

Is it a good idea to bet on Eintracht Frankfurt?

🔵 Eintracht Frankfurt: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $459.90;
• And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $529.60;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?

🔴 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $396.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Eintracht Frankfurt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eintracht Frankfurt x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.