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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for February 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Borussia Dortmund Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for February 1 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 1/2/2025
📅 1/2/2025
14:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
4.00
X
3.96
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
1.77

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 3 Heidenheim matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Borussia Dortmund as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of February

🏟️ Heidenheim X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 1 of February, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 14.86% | Fair line: 6.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.08% | Fair line: 4.98
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 65.06% | Fair line: 1.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254613 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund

Should you bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $592.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $500.50;
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$150.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Heidenheim.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Borussia Dortmund.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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