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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Holstein Kiel x Augsburg Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION Holstein Kiel wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Augsburg Augsburg
ODD: @2.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Holstein Kiel x Augsburg Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
14:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
2.88
X
3.41
Augsburg Augsburg
2.35

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg:

🔮 Holstein Kiel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Holstein Kiel, you can win up to $1440.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Augsburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Holstein Kiel x Augsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x Augsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of December

🏟️ Holstein Kiel X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 37.83% | Fair line: 2.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.29% | Fair line: 4.7
🔴 Augsburg – Winning probability: 40.88% | Fair line: 2.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $714.40;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $506.10;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$283.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Augsburg?

🔴 Augsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $553.50;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$36.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Augsburg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Holstein Kiel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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