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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Holstein Kiel x Mainz Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION Mainz Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Mainz Mainz
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Holstein Kiel x Mainz Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Mainz, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
14:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
2.90
X
3.50
Mainz Mainz
2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Holstein Kiel x Mainz:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x Mainz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $252.0.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Mainz has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 24 of November

🏟️ Holstein Kiel X Mainz – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 16.59% | Fair line: 6.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.99% | Fair line: 6.25
🔴 Mainz – Winning probability: 67.42% | Fair line: 1.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Mainz

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $323.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$507.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $400.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mainz?

🔴 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $871.00;
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$541.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Mainz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Holstein Kiel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Holstein Kiel. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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