RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for March 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025
17:30

RB Leipzig
2.50

X
3.60

Borussia Dortmund

2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund

Some important points for the tip for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $416.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 RB Leipzig has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Borussia Dortmund.

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of March

🏟️ RB Leipzig X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 39.02% | Fair line: 2.56
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.74% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 35.24% | Fair line: 2.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 RB Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 RB Leipzig.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.