TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 8 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 8/11/2025

📅 8/11/2025 14:30

TSG Hoffenheim 2.63

X 3.75

RB Leipzig 2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

The main points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $377.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against RB Leipzig, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against RB Leipzig.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, RB Leipzig has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?

Lets analyze the match between TSG Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig at PreZero Arena, which is Hoffenheims usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. ⚽

📈 Hoffenheim has shown solid performance at home recently, with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 home games, averaging 2.6 goals per game and conceding about 1.8 goals. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig remains unbeaten away from home in the last 5 matches (4 wins and 1 draw), with a very solid defense conceding only about 0.4 goals per away game.

The median odds indicate a slight favoritism for RB Leipzig (2.37) against Hoffenheim (2.63), with a draw at 3.72.

Analyzing the implied probabilities from normalized median odds, we have approximately: Hoffenheim win ~34%, draw ~24%, Leipzig win ~42%. Considering the balanced offensive stats but a more solid defense from Leipzig away, my fair estimate would be something close to this: a slightly favored away win.

Recent news shows RB Leipzig may have key defensive absences (Castello Lukeba injured) and midfield uncertainties (Baumgartner training individually). Additionally, Timo Werner might be leaving the club — this could negatively impact their attack.

On the other hand, Hoffenheim is riding high after a recent good 4-1 victory against Hamburger SV and has made signings to cover important defensive injuries like Koki Machidas temporary departure.

Given this, I believe the real chances are more balanced than the odds suggest — perhaps slightly more favorable to the home team due to extra motivation playing at their usual stadium and recent issues with the visitors.

📰 News about administrative changes at Hoffenheim do not seem to directly affect their immediate performance; however, physical problems in Leipzigs squad could be decisive for this tight matchup.

Table analysis indicates both teams are seeking important points to maintain or improve their Bundesliga standings — this should increase the intensity of the match without clearly favoring either side beyond the slight home advantage due to local factors and current squad situations.

The Bets Kenya model suggests positive value only on the draw (+4%), while I see greater value in a moderate bet on Hoffenheims victory considering the factors mentioned — my calculation indicates an expected value over +5% for this option due to current team conditions.
Therefore: highlighting a bet on TSG Hoffenheims victory, as I believe the offered odds are underestimating their true chance given the current circumstances! 🚀

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig?

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Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 8 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434165 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

TSG Hoffenheim: TSG Hoffenheim has been active both on and off the field: the club announced the immediate dismissal of CEOs Dr. Markus Schütz and Frank Briel, keeping sporting director Andreas Schicker and marketing chief Tim Jost, and plans to appoint Barbara Bender as the new CFO; defensively, the team secured a quick replacement for injured defender Koki Machida by signing 22-year-old Albian Hajdari from FC Lugano, who is expected to undergo medical examination this week, and is also preparing for the possible departure of Ozan Kabak with contract negotiations scheduled for summer; in the transfer market, Florian Grillitsch has been permanently transferred to Sporting Braga, and the squad is dealing with a significant gap on the left side after losing midfielder Jan Coufal to injury; on the field, Hoffenheim continued their strong form with a 4-1 victory over Hamburger SV that elevated them to third place and a 3-0 win in a recent womens derby against VfL Wolfsburg, while the mens team faces an upcoming Bundesliga match against RB Leipzig, with Leipzigs Castello Lukeba as doubtful due to a shoulder injury.

RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig faces a defensive setback with Castello Lukeba suffering a shoulder injury in the recent league win over VfB Stuttgart, making him doubtful for the next away game against TSG Hoffenheim, with coach Marco Stolz considering El Chadaille Bitshiabu as a substitute; meanwhile, midfielder Christoph Baumgartner has been training individually after missing a public training session, and striker Timo Werner seems poised to leave the club, with reports indicating a possible transfer to MLS team New York Red Bulls, as the squad continues to prepare for upcoming Bundesliga matches.

Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

TSG Hoffenheim: Hoffenheim is in 6th place with 16 points, just behind Bayer Leverkusen, which is in 5th position with 17 points, within the qualification zone for the Conference League. This match is quite important for Hoffenheim, as a victory could push them more firmly in the fight for a spot in European competitions, increasing their chances of qualifying for the continental tournament. Since we are still in an intermediate phase of the championship, every point counts to secure a better position until the end of the season.

RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig is in 2nd place with 22 points, fighting directly for the championship title and qualification to the Champions League. With a 5-point lead over Hoffenheim and only a few games remaining, this match is crucial for Leipzig to keep the pressure on leader Bayern Munich, which has 27 points. Additionally, beating Hoffenheim, a direct competitor for European qualification, helps consolidate their position in the G-4.

Summary: This game is important for both teams: for Hoffenheim, it’s a chance to get closer to the clubs in the European qualification zone, and for RB Leipzig, it’s an opportunity to keep the title race alive and secure a spot in the Champions League. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $570.50
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$79.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $742.50
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on RB Leipzig?

🔴 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $538.20;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 RB Leipzig.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.