TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:30

TSG Hoffenheim 2.08

X 3.80

Werder Bremen 3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen:

🔮 Werder Bremen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-182.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-27.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Werder Bremen, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Werder Bremen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen, with TSG Hoffenheim as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen

Should you bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $421.20
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is betting on Werder Bremen worth it?

🔴 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $861.00;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$271.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.