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Home Β» Predictions Β» Bundesliga 1 Β» Union Berlin x RB Leipzig Betting tips for February 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 17h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Union Berlin Union Berlin
PREDICTION No tip
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Don't miss this prediction!

Union Berlin x RB Leipzig Betting tips for February 1 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 1/2/2025
πŸ“… 1/2/2025
17:30
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3.00
X
3.50
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig

Some important points for the tip for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Union Berlin x RB Leipzig, with Union Berlin as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against RB Leipzig.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Union Berlin x RB Leipzig?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x RB Leipzig, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Union Berlin x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of February

🏟️ Union Berlin X RB Leipzig – Germany Bundesliga I
πŸ“… 1 of February, 2025 – 17:30
πŸ”΅ Union Berlin – Winning probability: 31.30% | Fair line: 3.19
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.55% | Fair line: 3.38
πŸ”΄ RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 39.15% | Fair line: 2.55
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254613 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig

Is it worth betting on Union Berlin?

πŸ”΅ Union Berlin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $750.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on RB Leipzig?

πŸ”΄ RB Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $487.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$122.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Union Berlin.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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