VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 16:30

VfB Stuttgart 1.50

X 4.50

Augsburg 5.56

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $348.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Augsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Augsburg, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 VfB Stuttgart is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 VfB Stuttgart has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Augsburg.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Augsburg:

Lets analyze the match between VfB Stuttgart and Augsburg in the Bundesliga, which will take place at MHP Arena, Stuttgarts home ground. The home team has been performing very strongly in their recent home games: 5 consecutive wins, averaging 1.8 goals per game and conceding only 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, Stuttgart dominates offensive stats with an average of 17 shots and 7 on target per home game, against only 9 shots conceded.

On the other hand, Augsburg has been struggling away in the same league: scoring a low average of just 1 goal in the last five away games and conceding about 2 goals per match. The visiting team also shows less ball possession (47%) and fewer shots (10) compared to Stuttgart.

The median odds indicate clear favoritism for Stuttgart (1.5), with draws (4.5) and Augsburg wins (5.5) being much more expensive — reflecting the current technical disparity between the teams.

📰 News: VfB Stuttgart faces some recent defensive issues due to key injuries like defender Luca Jaquez, but receives praise for full-back Josha Vagnoman, who has been a key part of the defense; also, goalkeeper Alexander Nübel has recovered after a recent mistake showing self-criticism — indicating a team focused on fixing errors to maintain their good home form.
Meanwhile, FC Augsburg is in a serious crisis near relegation zone, unable to score goals recently and under internal pressure for technical changes — a scenario that weighs against them in this tough away match.

📈 Table analysis: Although exact position data was not detailed here directly by the user, we know from the news that Augsburg is close to relegation while Stuttgart seeks to improve their standing; this gives greater motivation to the home team to secure the three points decisively.

Fair odds analysis:
Normalized implied probabilities of median odds:
– Stuttgart win: ~62%
– Draw: ~20%
– Augsburg win: ~18%

Assessing recent offensive/defensive stats along with injury news but also local team strength + motivation from the table + dominance in key metrics like possession and shots favor Stuttgart, reinforcing this high probability of their victory.
Thus, fair odds would be approximately:
– VfB Stuttgart win: between 1.55 – 1.60
– Draw: between 3.8 – 4
– Augsburg win: above 5

EV analysis:
Compared to the final odds given:
Betting on VfB Stuttgart offers a high positive expected value (>20%), confirming it as a recommended bet.
Draw or away win have a significant negative EV as indicated by the Bets Kenya club model.

Final suggestion: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model in this case! The positive expected value is clear to bet on VfB Stuttgart 🟢⚽️ They play at their traditional stadium where they have a great recent record; they face a technically and emotionally weakened opponent; additionally, they have key players returning or recently praised.
Betting on the draw or away win makes no sense given this very unfavorable current scenario for the visitors.

Take advantage of this safe opportunity! 💰🔥

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Augsburg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

VfB Stuttgart: Recent headlines about VfB Stuttgart have been dominated by a mix of praise, injury setbacks, and squad rotation before important matches: coach Sebastian Hoeneß praised full-back Josha Vagnoman as one of the Bundesligas best defenders, and pointed out a “thematic” defensive issue after the loss to Union Berlin and the nasal bone fracture suffered by defender Luca Jaquez, who missed the next cup match; goalkeeper Alexander Nübel, returning from recovery, showed self-criticism after a costly mistake against Union, and in the Europa League match against Feyenoord, Vagnoman was called up at the last minute to replace injured Jaquez, with the team securing a 2-0 victory thanks to late goals from El Khannouss and Undav; discussing the future of the goalkeeper position, the dilemma between keeping Alexander Nübel or promoting young talent Dennis Seimen is highlighted, and former Bayern official Hoeneß expressed surprise at the exclusion of midfielder Angelo Stiller from the national team despite his good season, while VfB Stuttgart II suffered a severe blow with the torn anterior cruciate ligament of young Alexandre Azevedo, 20, who underwent successful surgery.

FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg is currently facing a crisis in the Bundesliga, having failed to score in the recent match against Freiburg, which ended 0-0, and is close to the relegation zone as the season enters its decisive phase. The clubs poor performance has generated widespread criticism and speculation about possible changes in the coaching staff, while the squad fights to avoid relegation and seeks to strengthen the team in the upcoming transfer window.

Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart is currently in 4th place in the Bundesliga with 18 points, holding a direct spot for the Champions League. This match is important to maintain their position in the direct qualification zone for Europes top competition, especially since the competition is close: Borussia Dortmund is just above with 20 points and Bayer Leverkusen is right behind with 17 points. Staying focused and earning points is crucial at this stage of the season to secure this valuable spot and avoid losing positions to direct rivals.

Augsburg: Augsburg is in 14th place with 7 points, very close to the relegation zone and with a significant negative goal difference. This game is critical to try to distance themselves from the bottom of the table and avoid bigger problems in the fight against relegation. Every point is vital for Augsburg at this moment to escape the threat of relegation, so the match is of great importance for the team.

Summary: The game is important for both teams, but for different reasons: VfB Stuttgart aims to stay firmly in the race for a direct Champions League spot, while Augsburg needs points to move away from the relegation zone and secure their stay in the Bundesliga.

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

Is it a good idea to bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – profiting $430.00;
• And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$290.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$595.00.

Should you bet on Augsburg?

🔴 Augsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $228.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$722.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 VfB Stuttgart and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 VfB Stuttgart.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.