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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » VfB Stuttgart x Bochum Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Bochum Bochum
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x Bochum Betting tips for November 23 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
14:30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.22
X
6.50
Bochum Bochum
9.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $610.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-256.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bochum, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Bochum matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 VfB Stuttgart has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Bochum playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Bochum as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 23 of November

🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 95.82% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.95% | Fair line: 33.89
🔴 Bochum – Winning probability: 1.23% | Fair line: 81.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Bochum.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum

Is it worth betting on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – profiting $211.20;
  • And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$171.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $165.00
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bochum?

🔴 Bochum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $86.80;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$903.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Bochum

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 VfB Stuttgart and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 VfB Stuttgart.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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