Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg Betting tips for November 7 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg, Friday, 7/11/2025

📅 7/11/2025 19:30

Werder Bremen 2.15

X 3.70

Wolfsburg 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

Important information for your tip for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Wolfsburg.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg:

Lets analyze the match between Werder Bremen and Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga, which will take place at Weserstadion, the traditional stadium of Werder Bremen. ⚽

📈 Table and performance analysis: Werder Bremen has shown a decent performance at home in the last 5 games, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game at home and conceding about 1.6 goals. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, has impressive away stats in the last matches of the previous season (3 wins and only 2 losses), with a high average of goals scored (2.8) but also concedes more goals when playing away (almost 3 on average). This indicates an offensive visiting team but defensively vulnerable.

📰 Recent news: Werder Bremen is riding high after a convincing 4-0 victory in the season opener under new coach Horst Steffen, who brought intensity to the team; the return of midfielder Jens Stage further strengthens the midfield. Conversely, Wolfsburg faces serious issues: a recent defeat in the cup to a second division team, an important injury to defender Joakim Maehle, and instability in the coaching staff with a possible dismissal of coach Paul Simonis — all of which could negatively impact their performance.

Using median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: Werder Bremen win ~44%, draw ~25%, Wolfsburg win ~31%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and recent news that clearly boost the home team’s morale against the visitors’ crisis, my adjusted estimate would be: Werder Bremen around 48%, a draw near 27%, and Wolfsburg about 25%.

Therefore, fair betting odds would be approximately: Bremen @2.08, Draw @3.70, Wolfsburg @4.00. Comparing with the final offered odds (Bremen @2.20 / Draw @3.60 / Wolfsburg @3.10), I see clear value in betting on the home team — as the odds are higher than my fair estimate — while betting on the visitor seems risky due to internal issues.

Final analysis:
The Bets Kenya model suggests predicted odds close to my analysis but indicates negative value for all results (-4% for the home team). I disagree with this negative assessment for Werder Bremen’s victory because external factors like high morale after a good start + technical stability + clear advantage playing at home weigh heavily against a weakened opponent.
My recommendation is to bet on Werder Bremen’s win with a positive expected value above +5%. It’s a safe bet considering both statistical data and the current context of the teams! 🎯💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1433810 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen started their 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign with a convincing 4-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach, securing their first win of the season and highlighting the impact of the new coach Horst Steffen, who praised the teams intensity and cohesion; the match also marked the return of dynamic midfielder Jens Stage to the starting lineup, while veteran Marco Grüll noted a remarkable change in team morale after the dominant performance.

VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg is experiencing a turbulent period: after a shocking defeat in the DFB-Pokal to second division team Holstein Kiel, the club suffered a serious shoulder injury to defender Joakim Maehle during training and faces the possibility of his absence in the upcoming match against TSG Hoffenheim, while coach Paul Simonis is linked to a possible dismissal; off the field, the club is actively negotiating transfers, with Brazilian defender Cleiton from Flamengo being sought for a potential winter signing, and the contract of experienced midfielder Maximilian Arnold set to expire in summer, sparking renewal discussions, and the womens team maintained their good form by beating Hoffenheim 2-1 on November 1, 2025, in the Frauen-Bundesliga.

Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen is in 9th place with 12 points, in an intermediate zone of the table. Although reasonably distant from European competition spots (5 points behind the 6th place) and also far from the relegation zone, the middle of the table makes this match important to maintain or even try to improve their position, aiming, who knows, for a spot in continental tournaments. Every point gained can make a difference to secure a more comfortable position until the end of the championship and to avoid relegation risks.

Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is in 12th place with 8 points, just 2 points above the group still fighting against relegation. This match is very important for Wolfsburg, as the team needs to gather points to move away from the dangerous zone of the table and avoid pressure in the final rounds. A positive result can give a vital breather in the fight to stay in the Bundesliga. Therefore, the game carries significant weight for Wolfsburg to try to extend their lead over the last placed teams.

Summary: This is an important game for both teams, especially for Wolfsburg, which is closer to the danger zone. Werder Bremen aims to establish itself in the middle of the table and perhaps think about advances, while Wolfsburg fights to ensure their stay in the division more comfortably. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

Should you bet on Werder Bremen?

🔵 Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $675.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔴 Wolfsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $640.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Werder Bremen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Werder Bremen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.